The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -0.10 |
| May 21, 2026 | 1.70 | — | — |
| May 21, 2026 | 1.70 | 2.60 | -0.90 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 1.70 | — | — |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.60 | +0.10 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1.10 | 1.20 | -0.10 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.00 | +0.20 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.10 | +0.10 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.00 | +0.10 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 1.00 | 0.80 | +0.20 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.50 | -0.10 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| May 22, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.40 | +0.60 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.50 | -0.10 |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.80 | +0.20 |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.50 | -0.10 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.50 | -0.10 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.40 | -0.20 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.60 | -0.10 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 2.50 | 1.60 | +0.90 |
| Jul 22, 2024 | 1.50 | 1.00 | +0.50 |
| Jun 21, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.30 | -0.10 |
| May 23, 2024 | 1.10 | 2.10 | -1.00 |
| Apr 23, 2024 | 2.00 | 2.50 | -0.50 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2.10 | 2.20 | -0.10 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1.70 | 2.20 | -0.50 |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| Nov 21, 2023 | 2.70 | 2.10 | +0.60 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2.00 | 1.80 | +0.20 |
| Sep 21, 2023 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Aug 21, 2023 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Jul 20, 2023 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Jun 20, 2023 | 2.00 | 2.30 | -0.30 |
| May 22, 2023 | 2.10 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| Apr 21, 2023 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1.70 | 2.30 | -0.60 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1.80 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
