Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.80 | -0.50 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.80 | -0.50 |
| May 15, 2026 | 5.90 | 5.90 | 0.00 |
| May 15, 2026 | 5.90 | 5.90 | 0.00 |
| May 5, 2026 | 5.90 | 3.50 | +2.40 |
| May 5, 2026 | 5.90 | 3.50 | +2.40 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 3.80 | — | — |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3.80 | — | — |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.80 | +0.30 |
| May 16, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| May 2, 2025 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1.80 | 3.10 | -1.30 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 3.30 | 2.70 | +0.60 |
| May 17, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| May 2, 2024 | 2.70 | 0.90 | +1.80 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
