Measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the previous quarter. It is the primary indicator of economic health and growth. High growth suggests a robust economy, while negative growth indicates contraction.
Calculated by comparing the total value of goods and services produced in the current quarter to the previous quarter, adjusted for inflation. It uses the expenditure approach, summing consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | -0.60 | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | -0.60 | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| May 15, 2026 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| May 5, 2026 | 2.90 | 1.40 | +1.50 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1.10 | 1.00 | +0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.40 | +0.60 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.50 | +0.20 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 0.40 | -0.20 | +0.60 |
| May 16, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| May 2, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.80 | +0.20 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.50 | +0.30 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | -1.10 | -1.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | -1.10 | — | — |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| May 17, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| May 2, 2024 | 2.30 | 0.90 | +1.40 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 0.10 | 1.40 | -1.30 |
| Aug 11, 2023 | -1.30 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2023 | -1.30 | 1.00 | -2.30 |
| May 2, 2023 | 5.30 | — | — |
| Oct 31, 2022 | -2.60 | 2.00 | -4.60 |
| Aug 1, 2022 | 0.90 | 3.80 | -2.90 |
| May 3, 2022 | -2.90 | -0.60 | -2.30 |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 0.20 | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 0.10 | 0.80 | -0.70 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 1.10 | +0.10 ↑ |