The Harmonised Inflation Rate Year-over-Year (YoY) represents the annual percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices. This metric is specifically designed to provide a comparable measure of inflation across different European countries, stripping out national idiosyncrasies in data collection. It is the benchmark used by the ECB to define its price stability mandate of 2%.
The rate is derived from the HICP, which follows a strict set of legal requirements and statistical standards defined by EU regulations to ensure cross-border comparability.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | — | 2.90 | — |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 0.00 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | 4.90 | 4.90 | 0.00 |
| May 8, 2026 | 4.60 | 3.90 | +0.70 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3.10 | 2.80 | +0.30 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2.90 | 2.80 | +0.10 |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2.80 | 1.70 | +1.10 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1.60 | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1.80 | 3.00 | -1.20 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.80 | -0.70 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | 3.70 | 3.80 | -0.10 |
| Jul 9, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 3.30 | 2.70 | +0.60 |
| May 9, 2025 | 2.60 | 3.00 | -0.40 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.80 | +0.30 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.30 | -0.30 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.80 | +0.30 |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2.90 | — | — |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3.10 | 4.20 | -1.10 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | 3.20 | 2.90 | +0.30 |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 9, 2024 | 2.50 | 3.60 | -1.10 |
| Jun 10, 2024 | 2.40 | 3.30 | -0.90 |
| May 14, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3.40 | 2.80 | +0.60 |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.30 | -0.20 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.80 | -0.60 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 0.00 |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2.90 | 3.10 | -0.20 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3.80 | — | — |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Sep 8, 2023 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Aug 8, 2023 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Jul 7, 2023 | 2.80 | — | — |
| Jun 9, 2023 | 4.10 | — | — |
| May 10, 2023 | 4.50 | — | — |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 5.40 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 6.50 | — | — |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 7.30 | — | — |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 7.60 | — | — |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 8.80 | — | — |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 9.50 | — | — |
| Oct 10, 2022 | 12.10 | — | — |
| Sep 9, 2022 | 11.20 | — | — |
| Aug 8, 2022 | 11.30 | — | — |
| Jul 8, 2022 | 11.60 | — | — |
