The Balance of Trade is the difference between the monetary value of a nation's exports and imports over a specific period. A positive balance is known as a trade surplus, while a negative balance is a trade deficit. It is a major component of the current account and provides insights into a country's economic relationship with the rest of the world.
The figure is calculated by subtracting the total value of imported goods and services from the total value of exported goods and services. The data is collected from customs records and adjusted for seasonal factors.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | — | -4.00 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | -5.54 | -3.60 | -1.94 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -1.04 | -3.90 | +2.86 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | -7.05 | -4.10 | -2.95 |
| May 14, 2026 | -9.66 | -3.40 | -6.26 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | -5.34 | -3.60 | -1.74 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 3.92 | -6.20 | +10.12 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | -4.34 | -6.00 | +1.66 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | -6.12 | -3.50 | -2.62 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | -4.82 | -1.90 | -2.92 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -1.09 | -2.80 | +1.71 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | -3.39 | -5.10 | +1.71 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | -5.26 | -4.85 | -0.41 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | -5.01 | -4.30 | -0.71 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | -5.70 | -6.00 | +0.30 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | -7.03 | -4.20 | -2.83 |
| May 15, 2025 | -3.70 | -2.70 | -1.00 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | -1.96 | -1.10 | -0.86 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | -2.64 | -3.50 | +0.86 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | -2.82 | -1.70 | -1.12 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | -4.76 | -3.90 | -0.86 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | -3.72 | -3.40 | -0.32 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | -3.46 | -0.40 | -3.06 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | -0.95 | -6.70 | +5.75 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | -7.51 | -4.80 | -2.71 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | -5.32 | -1.10 | -4.22 |
| Jul 11, 2024 | -4.89 | -4.30 | -0.59 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | -6.75 | -1.25 | -5.50 |
| May 10, 2024 | -1.10 | -2.10 | +1.00 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | -2.29 | -3.70 | +1.41 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | -3.13 | -2.30 | -0.83 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | -2.60 | -1.90 | -0.70 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | -1.41 | -4.00 | +2.59 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | -4.48 | -1.70 | -2.78 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | -1.57 | -3.60 | +2.03 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | -3.42 | -3.60 | +0.19 |
| Sep 13, 2023 | -3.45 | -4.20 | +0.75 |
| Aug 11, 2023 | -4.79 | -4.60 | -0.19 |
| Jul 13, 2023 | -6.58 | -2.20 | -4.38 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | -1.52 | -2.60 | +1.08 |
| May 12, 2023 | -2.86 | -4.80 | +1.94 |
| Apr 13, 2023 | -4.80 | -4.90 | +0.10 |
| Mar 10, 2023 | -5.86 | -6.10 | +0.24 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | -7.15 | -2.80 | -4.35 |
| Jan 13, 2023 | -1.80 | -1.90 | +0.10 |
| Dec 12, 2022 | -1.78 | -3.20 | +1.42 |
| Nov 11, 2022 | -3.13 | -6.80 | +3.67 |
| Oct 12, 2022 | -7.08 | -8.40 | +1.32 |
| Sep 12, 2022 | -7.79 | -11.70 | +3.91 |
| Aug 12, 2022 | -11.39 | -9.60 | -1.79 |
| Jul 13, 2022 | -9.75 | -9.30 | -0.45 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | -1.04 | -1.04 | 0 ↓ |
| Jun 12, 2026 | -8.44 | -7.05 | +1.38 ↑ |
| Apr 16, 2026 | -0.72 | -5.34 | -4.62 ↓ |
