The CBI Industrial Trends Orders is a monthly survey conducted by the Confederation of British Industry that provides an early snapshot of the UK manufacturing sector. It measures the health of order books by asking manufacturers whether their current total orders are above, below, or at normal levels. This indicator is highly valued for its timeliness, often being released before official government manufacturing data. It provides insight into domestic and export demand for British-made goods.
The index is based on a survey of approximately 400 manufacturing firms. The headline figure is the 'balance,' calculated as the percentage of respondents reporting orders are 'above normal' minus the percentage reporting they are 'below normal.'
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | — | -40.00 | — |
| Aug 20, 2026 | -25.00 | -40.00 | +15.00 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | -45.00 | -40.00 | -5.00 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | -45.00 | -35.00 | -10.00 |
| May 21, 2026 | -41.00 | -40.00 | -1.00 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | -38.00 | -30.00 | -8.00 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | -27.00 | -29.00 | +2.00 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -28.00 | -28.00 | 0.00 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | -30.00 | -33.00 | +3.00 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | -32.00 | -35.00 | +3.00 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | -37.00 | -30.00 | -7.00 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | -38.00 | -30.00 | -8.00 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | -27.00 | -30.00 | +3.00 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | -33.00 | -28.00 | -5.00 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | -30.00 | -28.00 | -2.00 |
| Jun 24, 2025 | -33.00 | -27.00 | -6.00 |
| May 22, 2025 | -30.00 | -25.00 | -5.00 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | -26.00 | -35.00 | +9.00 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | -29.00 | -30.00 | +1.00 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | -28.00 | -30.00 | +2.00 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | -34.00 | -34.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | -40.00 | -22.00 | -18.00 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | -19.00 | -25.00 | +6.00 |
| Oct 24, 2024 | -27.00 | -28.00 | +1.00 |
| Sep 23, 2024 | -35.00 | -23.00 | -12.00 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | -22.00 | -25.00 | +3.00 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | -32.00 | -19.00 | -13.00 |
| Jun 24, 2024 | -18.00 | -25.00 | +7.00 |
| May 21, 2024 | -33.00 | -20.00 | -13.00 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | -23.00 | -16.00 | -7.00 |
| Mar 22, 2024 | -18.00 | -17.00 | -1.00 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | -20.00 | -27.00 | +7.00 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | -30.00 | -23.00 | -7.00 |
| Dec 19, 2023 | -23.00 | -22.00 | -1.00 |
| Nov 22, 2023 | -35.00 | -25.00 | -10.00 |
| Oct 24, 2023 | -26.00 | -12.00 | -14.00 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | -18.00 | -18.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 22, 2023 | -15.00 | -13.00 | -2.00 |
| Jul 25, 2023 | -9.00 | -12.00 | +3.00 |
| Jun 21, 2023 | -15.00 | -17.00 | +2.00 |
| May 24, 2023 | -17.00 | -19.00 | +2.00 |
| Apr 25, 2023 | -20.00 | -20.00 | 0.00 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | -20.00 | -15.00 | -5.00 |
| Feb 21, 2023 | -16.00 | -14.00 | -2.00 |
| Jan 24, 2023 | -17.00 | -8.00 | -9.00 |
| Dec 19, 2022 | -6.00 | -9.00 | +3.00 |
| Nov 24, 2022 | -5.00 | -8.00 | +3.00 |
| Oct 25, 2022 | -4.00 | -12.00 | +8.00 |
| Sep 21, 2022 | -2.00 | -11.00 | +9.00 |
| Aug 23, 2022 | -7.00 | 3.00 | -10.00 |
| Jul 25, 2022 | 8.00 | 15.00 | -7.00 |