The Core Inflation Rate Year-over-Year tracks the percentage change in the prices of consumer goods and services over the last 12 months, excluding food and energy. This annual perspective is vital for understanding the sustained trajectory of inflation and its impact on purchasing power over time. It is a primary reference point for cost-of-living adjustments and long-term economic planning. Central banks use this metric to gauge whether inflation is trending toward their long-term targets.
The index compares the current month's Core CPI level to the level from the same month in the previous year to determine the annual percentage growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.50 | +0.10 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.50 | +0.10 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| May 20, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.60 | -0.10 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 3.10 | 3.20 | -0.10 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.40 | -0.20 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3.50 | 3.70 | -0.20 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 3.80 | 3.70 | +0.10 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 3.70 | 3.50 | +0.20 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -0.10 |
| May 21, 2025 | 3.80 | 3.60 | +0.20 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -0.10 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 0.00 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.40 | -0.20 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -0.10 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3.30 | 3.10 | +0.20 |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.40 | -0.20 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 3.30 | 3.40 | -0.10 |
| Jul 17, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| Jun 19, 2024 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| May 22, 2024 | 3.90 | 3.60 | +0.30 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 4.20 | 4.10 | +0.10 |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 4.50 | 4.60 | -0.10 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 5.10 | 5.20 | -0.10 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 5.10 | 4.90 | +0.20 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 5.10 | 5.60 | -0.50 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 5.70 | 5.80 | -0.10 |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 6.10 | 6.00 | +0.10 |
| Sep 20, 2023 | 6.20 | 6.80 | -0.60 |
| Aug 16, 2023 | 6.90 | 6.80 | +0.10 |
| Jul 19, 2023 | 6.90 | 7.10 | -0.20 |
| Jun 21, 2023 | 7.10 | 6.80 | +0.30 |
| May 24, 2023 | 6.80 | 6.20 | +0.60 |
| Apr 19, 2023 | 6.20 | 6.00 | +0.20 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 6.20 | 5.70 | +0.50 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 5.80 | 6.20 | -0.40 |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 6.30 | 6.20 | +0.10 |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 6.30 | 6.50 | -0.20 |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 6.50 | 6.40 | +0.10 |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 6.50 | 6.40 | +0.10 |
| Sep 14, 2022 | 6.30 | 6.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 17, 2022 | 6.20 | 5.90 | +0.30 |
| Jul 20, 2022 | 5.80 | 5.80 | 0.00 |
