The BRC Shop Price Index measures the annual change in the price of goods sold in British retail outlets, providing an early snapshot of inflation in the UK. It tracks price movements across 500 common retail items, categorized into food and non-food sectors. Because it focuses on the retail level, it often serves as a precursor to the official Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released by the government. Investors use this index to gauge consumer spending power and potential shifts in the Bank of England's monetary policy stance.
The index is compiled by the British Retail Consortium (BRC) in collaboration with NielsenIQ, using price data collected from major retailers. The Year-over-Year (YoY) percentage change is calculated by comparing the current month's price levels to the same month in the previous year.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | 1.50 | 0.90 | +0.60 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 0.90 | 1.10 | -0.20 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| May 25, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.10 | +0.10 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1.10 | 1.40 | -0.30 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1.50 | 0.70 | +0.80 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 0.70 | — | — |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1.00 | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.20 | +0.50 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| May 26, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | -0.10 | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| Mar 31, 2025 | -0.40 | — | — |
| Mar 4, 2025 | -0.70 | -0.50 | -0.20 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | -0.70 | — | — |
| Jan 9, 2025 | -1.00 | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| Nov 26, 2024 | -0.60 | — | — |
| Oct 28, 2024 | -0.80 | -0.50 | -0.30 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | -0.30 | — | — |
| Jul 1, 2024 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Apr 29, 2024 | 0.80 | — | — |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1.30 | 2.20 | -0.90 |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2.50 | — | — |
