The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker provides an independent estimate of the UK's economic growth on a monthly basis. Produced by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, it serves as a high-frequency indicator that precedes official ONS data. The tracker helps economists and policymakers understand the current momentum of the UK economy. It is particularly useful for identifying turning points in the business cycle before they are reflected in quarterly reports.
The estimate is calculated using a series of econometric models that incorporate monthly output indicators from various sectors of the economy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | 0.40 | — | — |
| May 14, 2026 | 0.80 | — | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 0.60 | — | — |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Dec 12, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| May 15, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.70 | -0.10 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.30 | +0.30 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.10 | +0.20 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Jul 11, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.80 | -0.10 |
| May 10, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.30 | +0.40 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | -0.10 | — | — |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Sep 13, 2023 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Aug 11, 2023 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Jul 13, 2023 | 0.00 | — | — |
| May 12, 2023 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Mar 10, 2023 | -0.10 | — | — |
| Feb 10, 2023 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Dec 12, 2022 | -0.30 | — | — |
| Nov 11, 2022 | -0.30 | — | — |
| Oct 12, 2022 | -0.30 | — | — |
| Sep 12, 2022 | -0.20 | — | — |
| Jul 13, 2022 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Jun 13, 2022 | -0.10 | — | — |
| May 12, 2022 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Mar 14, 2022 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 0.90 | — | — |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1.20 | — | — |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 0.90 | 1.30 | -0.40 |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1.50 | — | — |