Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | — | 1.00 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 1.10 | 0.80 | +0.30 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.10 | +0.10 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 1.30 | 1.40 | -0.10 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 0.90 | 1.10 | -0.20 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 0.90 | 1.10 | -0.20 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.30 | -0.10 |
| May 14, 2026 | 1.10 | 0.80 | +0.30 |
| May 14, 2026 | 1.10 | 0.80 | +0.30 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.60 | +0.40 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.90 | -0.10 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 0.70 | 1.10 | -0.40 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.10 | +0.30 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.40 | -0.30 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.50 | -0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.10 | +0.30 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| May 15, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.00 | +0.10 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 1.40 | 0.90 | +0.50 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.40 | +0.10 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1.00 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.00 | +0.50 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1.00 | 1.30 | -0.30 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.60 | -0.30 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.10 | -0.10 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.80 | -0.10 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Jul 11, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Jun 12, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| May 10, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.30 | +0.40 |
| May 10, 2024 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Apr 12, 2024 | -0.20 | -0.40 | +0.20 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1.30 | 1.00 | +0.30 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Aug 11, 2023 | 0.90 | 0.50 | +0.40 |
| Jul 13, 2023 | -0.40 | -0.70 | +0.30 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| May 12, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0 ↓ |
