The monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) provides a high-frequency estimate of economic growth, measuring the change in output for a single month compared to the previous month. While quarterly data is more comprehensive, monthly GDP is crucial for identifying short-term economic trends and turning points in the business cycle. It is particularly significant in economies like the UK and Canada where it is a headline release. Investors use this data to anticipate quarterly performance and central bank policy shifts.
Estimated using a variety of monthly indicators including industrial production, services output, and construction activity. These components are weighted to reflect their contribution to the total economy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | — | 0.10 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.00 | +0.30 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| May 14, 2026 | 0.30 | -0.20 | +0.50 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.00 | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.10 | +0.20 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | -0.30 | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| May 15, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.10 | +0.40 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 11, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| May 10, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | -0.10 | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Sep 13, 2023 | -0.50 | -0.20 | -0.30 |
| Aug 11, 2023 | 0.50 | 0.20 | +0.30 |
| Jul 13, 2023 | -0.10 | -0.30 | +0.20 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| May 12, 2023 | -0.30 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.10 | +0.20 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | -0.50 | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 0.10 | -0.20 | +0.30 |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Nov 11, 2022 | -0.60 | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| Oct 12, 2022 | -0.30 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Sep 12, 2022 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Aug 12, 2022 | -0.60 | -1.30 | +0.70 |
| Jul 13, 2022 | 0.50 | -0.10 | +0.60 |
| Jun 13, 2022 | -0.30 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| May 12, 2022 | -0.10 | — | — |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 0.80 | 0.20 | +0.60 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0 ↓ |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.40 | -0.10 ↓ |