HMRC Payrolls Change provides an early estimate of the number of paid employees in the UK using Real Time Information (RTI) from the tax system. Unlike survey-based employment data, this reflects actual administrative records from HM Revenue and Customs. It serves as a timely indicator of labor market trends before official labor force survey results are finalized.
The data is derived from administrative records of employees paid through Pay As You Earn (PAYE) schemes, processed by HM Revenue and Customs.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | -13.00 | 5.00 | -18.00 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | -4.00 | 20.00 | -24.00 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 3.00 | -80.00 | +83.00 |
| May 19, 2026 | -53.00 | -26.00 | -27.00 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | -28.00 | 15.00 | -43.00 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 20.00 | 5.00 | +15.00 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | -11.00 | -10.00 | -1.00 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | -43.00 | -20.00 | -23.00 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | -38.00 | -40.00 | +2.00 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | -32.00 | 10.00 | -42.00 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | -10.00 | -13.00 | +3.00 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | -8.00 | -10.00 | +2.00 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | -8.00 | -60.00 | +52.00 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | -41.00 | -40.00 | -1.00 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | -109.00 | -25.00 | -84.00 |
| May 13, 2025 | -33.00 | -90.00 | +57.00 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | -78.00 | -35.00 | -43.00 |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 21.00 | 95.00 | -74.00 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 21.00 | -55.00 | +76.00 |
| Jan 21, 2025 | -47.00 | -20.00 | -27.00 |
| Dec 17, 2024 | -35.00 | -10.00 | -25.00 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | -5.00 | 12.00 | -17.00 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | -15.00 | 17.00 | -32.00 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | -59.00 | 20.00 | -79.00 |
| Aug 13, 2024 | 24.00 | 15.00 | +9.00 |
| Jul 18, 2024 | 16.00 | 5.00 | +11.00 |
| Jun 11, 2024 | -3.10 | -7.00 | +3.90 |
| May 14, 2024 | -85.00 | -25.00 | -60.00 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | -67.00 | 27.00 | -94.00 |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 20.00 | 34.00 | -14.00 |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 48.00 | -12.00 | +60.00 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | -24.00 | 30.00 | -54.00 |
| Dec 12, 2023 | -12.00 | 25.00 | -37.00 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 33.00 | -18.00 | +51.00 |
| Oct 17, 2023 | -11.00 | -11.00 | 0.00 |
| Sep 12, 2023 | -1.00 | 30.00 | -31.00 |
| Aug 15, 2023 | 97.00 | -12.00 | +109.00 |
| Jul 11, 2023 | -9.00 | — | — |
| Jun 13, 2023 | 23.00 | -90.00 | +113.00 |
| May 16, 2023 | -136.00 | 15.00 | -151.00 |
| Apr 18, 2023 | 31.00 | 65.00 | -34.00 |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 98.00 | 75.00 | +23.00 |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 102.00 | 53.00 | +49.00 |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 28.00 | 129.00 | -101.00 |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 107.00 | 45.00 | +62.00 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | -4 | -4 | 0 ↓ |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 2 | 3 | +1 ↑ |
| May 19, 2026 | -100 | -53 | +47 ↑ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | -11 | -28 | -17 ↓ |
