Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY represents the annual change in the total value of sales made by retailers, excluding automotive fuel. By removing fuel, the indicator provides a clearer picture of underlying consumer demand trends without the distortion of volatile energy prices. It serves as a key gauge of the retail sector's health and long-term consumer confidence trends.
The figure is derived from a survey of retail businesses, comparing the current month's sales (excluding fuel) to the same month in the previous year. The data is inflation-indexed and seasonally adjusted to ensure comparability across different periods.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 2.30 | 3.30 | -1.00 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 5.40 | 3.20 | +2.20 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 4.90 | 3.30 | +1.60 |
| May 22, 2026 | 1.10 | 1.50 | -0.40 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 1.50 | 2.00 | -0.50 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.90 | -0.20 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 5.50 | 3.60 | +1.90 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3.10 | 1.40 | +1.70 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1.20 | 2.50 | -1.30 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2.30 | 0.70 | +1.60 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.00 | +0.20 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.20 | +0.10 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | -1.30 | 1.80 | -3.10 |
| May 23, 2025 | 5.30 | 4.40 | +0.90 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | 3.30 | 2.20 | +1.10 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2.20 | 0.40 | +1.80 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | 1.20 | 0.50 | +0.70 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2.90 | 3.60 | -0.70 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.70 | -0.60 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 2.00 | 3.30 | -1.30 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 4.00 | 3.20 | +0.80 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2.30 | 1.10 | +1.20 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Jul 19, 2024 | -0.80 | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| Jun 21, 2024 | 1.20 | -0.80 | +2.00 |
| May 24, 2024 | -3.00 | -1.10 | -1.90 |
| Apr 19, 2024 | 0.40 | — | — |
| Mar 22, 2024 | -0.50 | -0.90 | +0.40 |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 0.70 | -1.60 | +2.30 |
| Jan 19, 2024 | -2.10 | 1.30 | -3.40 |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 0.30 | -1.50 | +1.80 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | -2.40 | -1.50 | -0.90 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | -1.20 | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | -1.40 | -1.30 | -0.10 |
| Aug 18, 2023 | -3.40 | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| Jul 21, 2023 | -0.90 | -1.60 | +0.70 |
| Jun 23, 2023 | -1.70 | -2.10 | +0.40 |
| May 26, 2023 | -2.60 | -2.80 | +0.20 |
| Apr 21, 2023 | -3.20 | -3.10 | -0.10 |
| Mar 24, 2023 | -3.30 | -4.70 | +1.40 |
| Feb 17, 2023 | -5.30 | -5.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 20, 2023 | -6.10 | -4.40 | -1.70 |
| Dec 16, 2022 | -5.90 | -5.80 | -0.10 |
| Nov 18, 2022 | -6.70 | -6.90 | +0.20 |
| Oct 21, 2022 | -6.20 | -4.10 | -2.10 |
| Sep 16, 2022 | -5.00 | -3.40 | -1.60 |
| Aug 19, 2022 | -3.00 | -3.10 | +0.10 |
| Jul 22, 2022 | -5.90 | -6.30 | +0.40 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | 5.40 | 5.40 | 0 ↓ |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.90 | +0.30 ↑ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.50 | -0.20 ↓ |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3.40 | 2.70 | -0.70 ↓ |
