The BRC Retail Sales Monitor provides an early snapshot of UK retail performance by measuring the year-over-year change in the value of retail sales. It focuses on 'like-for-like' sales, which excludes new store openings and closures to provide a more accurate reflection of underlying market growth. This indicator is highly regarded as a timely gauge of consumer confidence and spending power in the British economy.
The index is compiled by the British Retail Consortium based on actual sales data provided by participating retailers, representing over 60% of the UK retail market by turnover.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | — | 1.20 | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.50 | -0.50 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 1.70 | 2.90 | -1.20 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | 3.40 | 0.60 | +2.80 |
| May 11, 2026 | -3.40 | 0.80 | -4.20 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | 3.10 | 0.90 | +2.20 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 0.70 | 2.40 | -1.70 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 2.30 | 1.20 | +1.10 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.60 | +0.40 |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1.20 | 2.40 | -1.20 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.70 | -0.20 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.50 | -0.50 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.00 | +0.90 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -0.30 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 2.70 | 0.20 | +2.50 |
| Jun 9, 2025 | 0.60 | 2.70 | -2.10 |
| May 12, 2025 | 6.80 | 2.40 | +4.40 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.50 | +0.40 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 0.90 | 2.40 | -1.50 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | 2.50 | 0.20 | +2.30 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3.10 | -0.20 | +3.30 |
| Dec 3, 2024 | -3.40 | 0.70 | -4.10 |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 0.30 | 1.40 | -1.10 |
| Oct 7, 2024 | 1.70 | 1.10 | +0.60 |
| Sep 2, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 5, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 8, 2024 | -0.50 | 0.20 | -0.70 |
| Jun 3, 2024 | 0.40 | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| May 6, 2024 | -4.40 | 1.60 | -6.00 |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3.20 | 1.80 | +1.40 |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1.90 | 2.10 | -0.20 |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2.60 | 2.40 | +0.20 |
| Oct 9, 2023 | 2.80 | 2.00 | +0.80 |
| Sep 4, 2023 | 4.30 | 2.20 | +2.10 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | 1.80 | 3.80 | -2.00 |
| Jul 10, 2023 | 4.20 | 4.60 | -0.40 |
| Jun 5, 2023 | 3.70 | 5.20 | -1.50 |
| May 8, 2023 | 5.20 | 4.10 | +1.10 |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 4.90 | 4.20 | +0.70 |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 4.90 | 4.80 | +0.10 |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 0.00 |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 6.50 | 2.40 | +4.10 |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 4.10 | 0.60 | +3.50 |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1.20 | 0.90 | +0.30 |
| Oct 10, 2022 | 1.80 | 0.70 | +1.10 |
| Sep 5, 2022 | 0.50 | 0.30 | +0.20 |
| Aug 8, 2022 | 1.60 | -1.10 | +2.70 |
| Jul 11, 2022 | -1.30 | -0.50 | -0.80 |
