The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 2.10 | — | — |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 2.10 | — | — |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 2.10 | — | — |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.20 | -0.10 |
| May 13, 2026 | 1.50 | — | — |
| May 13, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.30 | +0.20 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 1.30 | 1.20 | +0.10 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -0.20 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.80 | -0.30 |
| May 14, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.80 | -0.30 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 0.70 | 1.00 | -0.30 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1.10 | 1.00 | +0.10 |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 0.80 | 1.30 | -0.50 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 1.50 | 2.60 | -1.10 |
| May 14, 2024 | 1.90 | 2.20 | -0.30 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2.20 | 3.00 | -0.80 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3.30 | 3.40 | -0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.40 | +0.20 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3.30 | 4.00 | -0.70 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 4.90 | 5.20 | -0.30 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 5.50 | 5.40 | +0.10 |
| Sep 14, 2023 | 5.60 | — | — |
| Aug 14, 2023 | 6.50 | — | — |
| Jul 14, 2023 | 6.30 | — | — |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 6.80 | — | — |
| May 15, 2023 | 7.90 | — | — |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 7.90 | — | — |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 8.80 | — | — |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 8.40 | — | — |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 9.10 | — | — |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 9.10 | — | — |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 8.30 | — | — |
