The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) measures the month-over-month change in the prices of consumer goods and services acquired by households. It is developed using a standardized methodology across European Union member states to ensure comparability for monetary policy purposes. This indicator is a key metric for the European Central Bank to assess price stability and guide interest rate decisions within the Eurozone.
The index is calculated as a weighted average of price changes for a representative basket of goods and services, with weights reflecting each country's share in total household final consumption expenditure.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | -0.40 | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | -0.40 | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | -0.30 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.30 | +0.40 |
| May 13, 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 0.00 | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.70 | +0.10 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 0.70 | 1.40 | -0.70 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1.20 | 0.50 | +0.70 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -0.10 | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | -0.20 | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | -0.10 | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.30 | +0.10 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.70 | -0.70 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Sep 2, 2025 | -0.30 | 0.20 | -0.50 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 1, 2025 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Jun 3, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| May 14, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| May 2, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 0.20 | -0.20 | +0.40 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
