Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | 1.60 | 2.50 | -0.90 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 2.50 | 1.00 | +1.50 |
| May 29, 2026 | 1.10 | 1.30 | -0.20 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 1.30 | 0.20 | +1.10 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 0.00 | -0.40 | +0.40 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | -0.60 | -0.90 | +0.30 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | -0.90 | 0.20 | -1.10 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.50 | -0.50 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.90 | -0.40 |
| May 30, 2025 | 0.80 | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1.20 | 0.70 | +0.50 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | -1.20 | -0.70 | -0.50 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | -0.70 | -0.30 | -0.40 |
| May 31, 2024 | -1.20 | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| May 15, 2024 | -0.40 | -1.00 | +0.60 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | -1.80 | -1.30 | -0.50 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | -1.30 | — | — |
| Nov 30, 2023 | -1.20 | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | -1.00 | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| Aug 31, 2023 | -0.40 | — | — |
| Aug 16, 2023 | 0.20 | — | — |
| May 31, 2023 | -0.40 | — | — |
| May 16, 2023 | 1.20 | — | — |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1.00 | — | — |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1.70 | — | — |
| Aug 31, 2022 | 3.00 | 2.30 | +0.70 |
| Aug 17, 2022 | 2.30 | — | — |
| May 31, 2022 | 3.60 | — | — |
| May 17, 2022 | 4.30 | — | — |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2.90 | — | — |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3.70 | — | — |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 4.00 | — | — |
