The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the European Union measures the annual change in the price of goods and services purchased by households. It is the primary gauge of inflation in the Eurozone and is closely monitored by the European Central Bank (ECB). A rising CPI often leads to expectations of tighter monetary policy to control inflation.
Calculated using the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) methodology, which aggregates price data from member states using a weighted average based on each country's consumption expenditure.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | — | 103.70 | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 103.70 | 103.60 | +0.10 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 103.24 | 103.22 | +0.02 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 103.22 | 103.22 | 0.00 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 103.02 | 103.07 | -0.05 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 103.07 | 103.07 | 0.00 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 103.13 | 103.15 | -0.02 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 103.15 | 103.20 | -0.05 |
| May 20, 2026 | 103.04 | 103.05 | -0.01 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 103.05 | 103.00 | +0.05 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 101.99 | 101.96 | +0.03 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 129.54 | 129.56 | -0.02 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 129.56 | 129.60 | -0.04 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 129.30 | 129.35 | -0.05 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 129.34 | 129.40 | -0.06 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 129.43 | 129.42 | +0.01 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 129.42 | 129.40 | +0.02 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 129.31 | 129.32 | -0.01 |
| Sep 2, 2025 | 129.32 | 129.30 | +0.02 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 129.12 | 129.10 | +0.02 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 129.10 | 128.80 | +0.30 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | 129.10 | 129.07 | +0.03 |
| Jul 1, 2025 | 129.07 | 129.10 | -0.03 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 128.71 | 128.73 | -0.02 |
| Jun 3, 2025 | 128.73 | 128.90 | -0.17 |
| May 19, 2025 | 128.77 | 128.76 | +0.01 |
| May 2, 2025 | 128.76 | 128.50 | +0.26 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 128.04 | 128.04 | 0.00 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 128.04 | 127.90 | +0.14 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 127.26 | 127.32 | -0.06 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 127.32 | 127.40 | -0.08 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 127.07 | 127.08 | -0.01 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 127.08 | 126.62 | +0.46 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 126.62 | 126.67 | -0.05 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 126.67 | 126.70 | -0.03 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 126.60 | 126.63 | -0.03 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | 126.63 | 126.70 | -0.07 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | 126.72 | 126.74 | -0.02 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 126.74 | 126.80 | -0.06 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 126.54 | 126.60 | -0.06 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 126.60 | 126.20 | +0.40 |
| Jul 17, 2024 | 126.50 | 126.58 | -0.08 |
| Jul 2, 2024 | 126.58 | 126.60 | -0.02 |
| Jun 18, 2024 | 126.31 | 126.32 | -0.01 |
| May 31, 2024 | 126.32 | 126.20 | +0.12 |
| May 17, 2024 | 126.04 | 126.10 | -0.06 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 126.10 | 126.10 | 0.00 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 125.30 | 125.33 | -0.03 |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 125.30 | 125.50 | -0.20 |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 124.40 | 124.40 | 0.00 |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 124.40 | 124.20 | +0.20 |
