The Core Inflation Rate Year-over-Year tracks the percentage change in the prices of consumer goods and services over the last 12 months, excluding food and energy. This annual perspective is vital for understanding the sustained trajectory of inflation and its impact on purchasing power over time. It is a primary reference point for cost-of-living adjustments and long-term economic planning. Central banks use this metric to gauge whether inflation is trending toward their long-term targets.
The index compares the current month's Core CPI level to the level from the same month in the previous year to determine the annual percentage growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | — | 2.70 | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.40 | +0.10 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.50 | +0.10 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.40 | +0.10 |
| May 20, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.20 | +0.20 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Sep 2, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 1, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 3, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.50 | -0.20 |
| May 19, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| May 2, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.50 | +0.20 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.50 | +0.10 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.60 | +0.10 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.60 | +0.10 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
