The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | — | 3.40 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.20 | +0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 3.50 | 3.40 | +0.10 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 3.50 | 3.20 | +0.30 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| May 29, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
| May 29, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.40 | -0.20 |
| May 14, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| May 14, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.50 | -0.30 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.40 | -0.20 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.30 | +0.10 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.70 | -0.40 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.80 | +0.10 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3.00 | 2.90 | +0.10 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.90 | +0.20 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3.00 | 2.90 | +0.10 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.60 | +0.10 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.00 | +0.20 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| May 30, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.10 | -0.20 |
| May 14, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.00 | +0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.70 | -0.40 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3.00 | 2.90 | +0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.60 | +0.20 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0 ↓ |
| May 29, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0 ↓ |
| May 14, 2026 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0 ↓ |
