The Harmonised Inflation Rate Year-over-Year (YoY) represents the annual percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices. This metric is specifically designed to provide a comparable measure of inflation across different European countries, stripping out national idiosyncrasies in data collection. It is the benchmark used by the ECB to define its price stability mandate of 2%.
The rate is derived from the HICP, which follows a strict set of legal requirements and statistical standards defined by EU regulations to ensure cross-border comparability.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | — | 3.80 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.60 | -0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 3.90 | 3.80 | +0.10 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 3.80 | 3.70 | +0.10 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.30 | +0.30 |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| May 29, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| May 14, 2026 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.30 | +0.10 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.90 | -0.60 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.30 | +0.20 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.90 | +0.20 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.00 | +0.20 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.00 | +0.20 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| May 30, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| May 14, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.00 | +0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.50 | -0.30 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.80 | +0.10 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.80 | +0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.60 | +0.20 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | 1.70 | 1.90 | -0.20 |
| Sep 12, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2024 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
