The reading has fallen in each of the last 3 releases.
Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | — | 1.70 | — |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| May 29, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.10 | +0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.50 | -0.40 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.60 | +0.10 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.40 | +0.20 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2.80 | 2.70 | +0.10 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.30 | +0.40 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.40 | +0.20 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.20 | +0.20 |
| May 30, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.00 | +0.20 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.60 | +0.20 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.30 | +0.10 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.40 | -0.10 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.40 | +0.20 |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| May 31, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 0.20 | -0.20 | +0.40 |
| Mar 1, 2024 | -0.20 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jan 30, 2024 | -0.20 | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | -0.80 | -0.70 | -0.10 |
| Dec 1, 2023 | -0.70 | -0.60 | -0.10 |
| Oct 31, 2023 | -0.60 | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | -0.60 | — | — |
| Aug 29, 2023 | -0.40 | -0.60 | +0.20 |
| Jul 31, 2023 | -0.60 | -0.50 | -0.10 |
| Jun 30, 2023 | -0.50 | — | — |
| May 30, 2023 | -0.40 | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| May 2, 2023 | -0.20 | -0.60 | +0.40 |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1.50 | 1.70 | -0.20 |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1.70 | — | — |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1.60 | 1.70 | -0.10 |
| Aug 30, 2022 | 3.70 | 3.60 | +0.10 |
| Jul 29, 2022 | 3.60 | 3.10 | +0.50 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
