Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 1.30 | 0.30 | +1.00 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -1.20 | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| May 11, 2026 | 1.20 | 0.40 | +0.80 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | -0.20 | 0.30 | -0.50 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1.00 | -0.20 | +1.20 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | -0.10 | 0.50 | -0.60 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.40 | +0.40 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | -0.20 | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 0.60 | -0.10 | +0.70 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.80 | -0.50 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Jul 4, 2025 | -0.20 | -1.00 | +0.80 |
| Jun 4, 2025 | 1.20 | 0.20 | +1.00 |
| May 9, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.10 | +0.50 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | -0.50 | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1.20 | 0.20 | +1.00 |
| Jan 13, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 0.60 | -0.20 | +0.80 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 0.10 | -0.60 | +0.70 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | 0.70 | -0.20 | +0.90 |
| Aug 5, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.20 | +0.50 |
| Jul 4, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Jun 5, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| May 9, 2024 | 1.30 | -0.30 | +1.60 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | -0.80 | -0.50 | -0.30 |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1.00 | -0.10 | +1.10 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 0.60 | 0.00 | +0.60 |
| Nov 7, 2023 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Oct 6, 2023 | -0.80 | — | — |
| Sep 7, 2023 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Aug 4, 2023 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Jul 10, 2023 | 0.50 | — | — |
| Jun 7, 2023 | -0.30 | — | — |
| May 5, 2023 | -0.70 | — | — |
| Apr 5, 2023 | -0.40 | — | — |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 0.30 | — | — |
| Feb 7, 2023 | -0.70 | — | — |
| Jan 12, 2023 | -0.30 | — | — |
| Dec 6, 2022 | -1.80 | — | — |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 0.80 | — | — |
| Oct 6, 2022 | -0.70 | — | — |
| Sep 7, 2022 | -0.60 | — | — |
| Aug 5, 2022 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Jul 11, 2022 | -2.30 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | -0.90 | -1.20 | -0.30 ↓ |
| May 11, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0 ↓ |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 0 | -0.20 | -0.20 ↓ |
