Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | 4.10 | 2.10 | +2.00 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | -0.40 | 1.30 | -1.70 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 2.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 |
| May 15, 2026 | 3.90 | 1.80 | +2.10 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 1.40 | 0.60 | +0.80 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | -0.50 | 0.20 | -0.70 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | -0.60 | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 0.70 | 1.60 | -0.90 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1.90 | 2.10 | -0.20 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 5.20 | 4.00 | +1.20 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1.00 | 7.00 | -6.00 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | 5.80 | 2.70 | +3.10 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.90 | -0.70 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 3.00 | 1.40 | +1.60 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | -3.30 | -2.40 | -0.90 |
| May 14, 2025 | 1.60 | 1.70 | -0.10 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | -1.20 | 0.80 | -2.00 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1.90 | 1.00 | +0.90 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 1.90 | 0.20 | +1.70 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | -0.80 | -0.50 | -0.30 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1.10 | -1.10 | +2.20 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | -4.20 | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | -1.80 | -1.50 | -0.30 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | 2.00 | -5.00 | +7.00 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | -4.80 | -2.50 | -2.30 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | -3.60 | 5.00 | -8.60 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 4.10 | 5.60 | -1.50 |
| May 14, 2024 | -11.10 | -7.00 | -4.10 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | -2.20 | -4.00 | +1.80 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | -4.30 | -7.20 | +2.90 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | -6.80 | -7.20 | +0.40 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | -6.40 | -4.50 | -1.90 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | -5.90 | -5.60 | -0.30 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | -6.90 | -9.20 | +2.30 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | -8.60 | -5.10 | -3.50 |
| Sep 15, 2023 | -7.20 | -4.50 | -2.70 |
| Aug 14, 2023 | -4.80 | — | — |
| Jul 14, 2023 | -3.40 | -4.90 | +1.50 |
| Jun 15, 2023 | -6.40 | -3.00 | -3.40 |
| May 12, 2023 | -2.00 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 0.40 | -0.30 | +0.70 |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 0.20 | — | — |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 0.50 | 2.40 | -1.90 |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 4.50 | 4.10 | +0.40 |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 5.30 | — | — |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 6.90 | — | — |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 9.10 | 6.10 | +3.00 |
| Sep 15, 2022 | 5.20 | 7.10 | -1.90 |
| Aug 12, 2022 | 12.30 | — | — |
| Jul 15, 2022 | 46.20 | 42.10 | +4.10 |
