Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | 3.50 | 0.90 | +2.60 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 3.50 | — | — |
| May 15, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| May 15, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 2.10 | 3.10 | -1.00 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.60 | -0.50 |
| May 15, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.50 | +0.20 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2.00 | 2.40 | -0.40 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 2.10 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.10 | -0.20 ↓ |
