Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | 4.50 | 5.00 | -0.50 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 5.30 | 4.60 | +0.70 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.30 | +0.20 |
| May 18, 2026 | 4.10 | 5.90 | -1.80 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 5.70 | 5.50 | +0.20 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 6.30 | 5.30 | +1.00 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 5.20 | 5.00 | +0.20 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 4.80 | 5.00 | -0.20 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 4.90 | 5.50 | -0.60 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 6.50 | 5.00 | +1.50 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 5.20 | 5.80 | -0.60 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 5.70 | 5.90 | -0.20 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 6.80 | 5.60 | +1.20 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 5.80 | 5.90 | -0.10 |
| May 19, 2025 | 6.10 | 5.50 | +0.60 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 7.70 | 5.60 | +2.10 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 5.90 | 5.30 | +0.60 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 6.20 | 5.40 | +0.80 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 5.40 | 5.30 | +0.10 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 5.30 | 5.60 | -0.30 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 5.40 | 4.60 | +0.80 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | 4.50 | 4.80 | -0.30 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 5.10 | 5.20 | -0.10 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 5.30 | 5.00 | +0.30 |
| Jun 17, 2024 | 5.60 | 6.00 | -0.40 |
| May 17, 2024 | 6.70 | 5.50 | +1.20 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 4.50 | 5.40 | -0.90 |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 7.00 | 5.00 | +2.00 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 6.80 | 6.60 | +0.20 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 6.60 | 5.60 | +1.00 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 4.60 | 4.40 | +0.20 |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 4.50 | 4.30 | +0.20 |
| Sep 15, 2023 | 4.50 | 3.90 | +0.60 |
| Aug 15, 2023 | 3.70 | 4.40 | -0.70 |
| Jul 17, 2023 | 4.40 | 2.70 | +1.70 |
| Jun 15, 2023 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -0.10 |
| May 16, 2023 | 5.60 | 10.90 | -5.30 |
| Apr 18, 2023 | 3.90 | 4.00 | -0.10 |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2.40 | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1.30 | 0.20 | +1.10 |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2.20 | 3.60 | -1.40 |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 5.00 | 5.20 | -0.20 |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 6.30 | 4.50 | +1.80 |
| Sep 16, 2022 | 4.20 | 3.80 | +0.40 |
| Aug 15, 2022 | 3.80 | 4.60 | -0.80 |
| Jul 15, 2022 | 3.90 | 4.10 | -0.20 |
| Jun 15, 2022 | 0.70 | -0.70 | +1.40 |
| May 16, 2022 | -2.90 | 0.40 | -3.30 |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 5.00 | 4.50 | +0.50 |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 7.50 | 3.90 | +3.60 |
