Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | — | 4.40 | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.50 | -0.20 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 5.00 | 4.80 | +0.20 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 0.00 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 0.00 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 4.80 | 4.70 | +0.10 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 5.20 | 5.10 | +0.10 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 5.40 | 5.10 | +0.30 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 5.40 | 5.00 | +0.40 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 4.60 | 4.50 | +0.10 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 4.70 | 5.10 | -0.40 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 5.30 | 5.00 | +0.30 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 5.20 | 5.30 | -0.10 |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 4.90 | 4.40 | +0.50 |
| Jul 17, 2023 | 6.30 | 7.30 | -1.00 |
| Apr 18, 2023 | 4.50 | 4.00 | +0.50 |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2.90 | 1.80 | +1.10 |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3.90 | 3.40 | +0.50 |
| Jul 15, 2022 | 0.40 | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 4.80 | 4.40 | +0.40 |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 4.00 | 3.60 | +0.40 |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 4.90 | 5.20 | -0.30 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
