The Core Inflation Rate Month-over-Month measures the change in the price of goods and services sold to consumers, excluding the volatile food and energy sectors. By removing these fluctuating components, the indicator provides a more stable and accurate view of underlying long-term inflation trends. Central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, closely monitor core figures to help determine future monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. A reading higher than forecast is generally seen as bullish for the currency.
Calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) formula, but specifically filtering out items classified under food and energy categories.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | 0.40 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| May 8, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.80 | -0.50 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.20 | +0.60 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.50 | -0.40 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 0.70 | -0.10 | +0.80 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | -0.10 | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.60 | -0.70 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | -0.20 | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | 0.60 | -0.10 | +0.70 |
| Jul 8, 2025 | -0.30 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| May 8, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.10 | +0.70 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.30 | +0.20 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.20 | +0.30 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.50 | -0.30 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | 0.70 | -0.20 | +0.90 |
| Jul 8, 2024 | -0.60 | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| Jun 7, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| May 8, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.90 | -0.40 |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.30 | +0.30 |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.40 | +0.30 |
| Jan 8, 2024 | -0.40 | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 0.70 | 0.00 | +0.70 |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 0.00 | 0.30 | -0.30 |
