The announcement by a central bank regarding the short-term interest rate at which it lends to commercial banks. This is the primary tool of monetary policy used to control inflation and stabilize the national economy. Changes in interest rates influence borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, affecting overall spending and investment levels.
Determined by the central bank's governing board after reviewing comprehensive economic data, including inflation trends, GDP growth, and employment figures. The decision is based on the bank's mandate to maintain price stability and support economic growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 9.14 | — | — |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 14.25 | 14.25 | 0.00 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 14.50 | 14.50 | 0.00 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 9.13 | — | — |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 14.75 | 14.50 | +0.25 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 15.00 | 14.75 | +0.25 |
| May 7, 2025 | 14.75 | 14.75 | 0.00 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 14.25 | 14.25 | 0.00 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 0.00 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 12.25 | 12.00 | +0.25 |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 11.25 | 11.25 | 0.00 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | 10.75 | 10.75 | 0.00 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 10.50 | 10.50 | 0.00 |
| Jun 19, 2024 | 10.50 | 10.50 | 0.00 |
| May 8, 2024 | 10.50 | 10.50 | 0.00 |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 10.75 | 10.75 | 0.00 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 11.25 | 11.25 | 0.00 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 11.75 | 11.75 | 0.00 |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 12.25 | 12.25 | 0.00 |
| Sep 20, 2023 | 12.75 | 12.75 | 0.00 |
| Aug 2, 2023 | 13.25 | 13.50 | -0.25 |
| Jun 21, 2023 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| May 3, 2023 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| Sep 21, 2022 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| Aug 3, 2022 | 13.75 | 13.75 | 0.00 |
| Jun 15, 2022 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 0.00 |
| May 4, 2022 | 12.75 | 12.75 | 0.00 |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 11.75 | 11.75 | 0.00 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 10.75 | 10.75 | 0.00 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 9.25 | 9.25 | 0.00 |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 7.75 | 7.25 | +0.50 |
| Sep 22, 2021 | 6.25 | 6.25 | 0.00 |
