The IBC-BR Economic Activity Index is a monthly indicator released by the Central Bank of Brazil. It serves as a high-frequency proxy for the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP), providing an early look at economic growth. The index incorporates data from major sectors including industry, services, and agriculture. Analysts use this figure to predict official quarterly GDP results and to assess the effectiveness of current monetary policy.
Calculated by the Central Bank of Brazil using a weighted average of proxy indicators for production in the farming, industry, and services sectors.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | -0.60 | -0.50 | -0.10 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| May 18, 2026 | -0.70 | -0.20 | -0.50 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.85 | -0.05 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | -0.20 | -0.50 | +0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 0.70 | 0.30 | +0.40 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | -0.20 | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | -0.20 | -0.10 | -0.10 |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | -0.50 | -0.20 | -0.30 |
| Aug 18, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | -0.70 | 0.10 | -0.80 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| May 19, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.50 | +0.30 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.22 | +0.68 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | -0.70 | -0.40 | -0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 0.10 | -0.10 | +0.20 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 0.10 | -0.20 | +0.30 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.50 | +0.30 |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 0.20 | -0.10 | +0.30 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | -0.40 | -0.80 | +0.40 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 1.40 | 0.50 | +0.90 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 0.25 | -0.10 | +0.35 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 0.01 | 0.45 | -0.44 |
| May 15, 2024 | -0.34 | -0.30 | -0.04 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 0.40 | — | — |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.26 | +0.34 |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 0.82 | 0.75 | +0.07 |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 0.01 | 0.10 | -0.09 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | -0.06 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
| Nov 17, 2023 | -0.06 | 0.20 | -0.26 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | -0.77 | -0.30 | -0.47 |
| Sep 19, 2023 | 0.44 | 0.30 | +0.14 |
| Aug 14, 2023 | 0.63 | 0.60 | +0.03 |
| Jul 17, 2023 | -2.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| Jun 16, 2023 | 0.56 | 0.20 | +0.36 |
| May 19, 2023 | -0.15 | -0.30 | +0.15 |
| Apr 28, 2023 | 3.32 | 0.10 | +3.22 |
| Apr 17, 2023 | -0.04 | -0.20 | +0.16 |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 0.29 | 0.10 | +0.19 |
| Jan 13, 2023 | -0.55 | -0.20 | -0.35 |
| Dec 14, 2022 | -0.05 | 0.50 | -0.55 |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 0.05 | 0.20 | -0.15 |
| Oct 17, 2022 | -1.13 | -0.50 | -0.63 |
| Sep 15, 2022 | 1.17 | 0.30 | +0.87 |
| Aug 15, 2022 | 0.69 | 0.25 | +0.44 |
| Jul 14, 2022 | -0.11 | — | — |
