The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | 3.00 | 2.60 | +0.40 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.60 | -0.30 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 2.30 | — | — |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 2.30 | — | — |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 2.30 | 1.80 | +0.50 |
| May 25, 2026 | 1.40 | — | — |
| May 25, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 1.10 | — | — |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 1.10 | 2.00 | -0.90 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 0.50 | 1.80 | -1.30 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1.30 | 0.60 | +0.70 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.90 | -0.40 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1.10 | 0.20 | +0.90 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 0.00 | -0.50 | +0.50 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | -0.80 | -1.20 | +0.40 |
| Aug 26, 2025 | -0.90 | 0.30 | -1.20 |
| Jul 27, 2025 | -0.40 | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | -1.00 | -0.30 | -0.70 |
| May 27, 2025 | -0.50 | — | — |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.80 | -0.70 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.90 | -0.90 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 0.50 | 1.20 | -0.70 |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 0.40 | — | — |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 0.40 | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 0.40 | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| Oct 7, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Aug 27, 2024 | 1.10 | — | — |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 1.40 | 2.70 | -1.30 |
| Jun 27, 2024 | 2.50 | 1.30 | +1.20 |
| Jun 2, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.20 | +0.60 |
| Jan 25, 2024 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Dec 31, 2023 | -0.40 | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 0.00 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Nov 2, 2023 | -0.10 | 0.70 | -0.80 |
