The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | — | 3.20 | — |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 3.97 | 3.80 | +0.17 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 3.97 | — | — |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 3.56 | — | — |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 3.56 | 3.30 | +0.26 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 3.40 | 4.00 | -0.60 |
| May 28, 2026 | 4.08 | — | — |
| May 28, 2026 | 4.08 | 4.80 | -0.72 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 4.07 | 2.80 | +1.27 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1.65 | 2.50 | -0.85 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1.45 | 1.10 | +0.35 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1.10 | 1.80 | -0.70 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2.06 | 2.30 | -0.24 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | 2.40 | 1.90 | +0.50 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 2.12 | 2.00 | +0.12 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 1.91 | 2.10 | -0.19 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 1.92 | 2.10 | -0.18 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 2.15 | 1.70 | +0.45 |
| May 28, 2025 | 2.01 | 2.40 | -0.39 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 2.55 | 2.70 | -0.15 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2.91 | 3.40 | -0.49 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3.55 | 4.30 | -0.75 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 4.08 | 3.10 | +0.98 |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3.16 | 3.20 | -0.04 |
| Nov 28, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | 3.06 | 3.00 | +0.06 |
| Aug 29, 2024 | 2.86 | 3.70 | -0.84 |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 3.64 | 3.50 | +0.14 |
| Jun 27, 2024 | 3.74 | 3.20 | +0.54 |
| May 30, 2024 | 3.36 | 3.40 | -0.04 |
| Apr 29, 2024 | 3.37 | 3.30 | +0.07 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3.18 | 3.20 | -0.02 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3.20 | 1.90 | +1.30 |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1.75 | 1.30 | +0.45 |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1.35 | 1.80 | -0.45 |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 0.76 | 0.50 | +0.26 |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 0.36 | 1.60 | -1.24 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | 2.39 | — | — |
| Aug 30, 2023 | 4.09 | — | — |
| Jul 28, 2023 | 4.14 | — | — |
| Jun 29, 2023 | 4.15 | — | — |
| May 30, 2023 | 5.20 | — | — |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 5.60 | — | — |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 6.67 | — | — |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 6.62 | — | — |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 8.05 | — | — |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 10.35 | — | — |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 10.63 | — | — |
