The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | 33.80 | 33.50 | +0.30 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 33.50 | 33.60 | -0.10 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 33.20 | 33.40 | -0.20 |
| May 14, 2026 | 32.40 | 32.40 | 0.00 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 32.60 | 32.10 | +0.50 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 33.10 | 32.70 | +0.40 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 32.40 | 31.80 | +0.60 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 31.50 | 31.20 | +0.30 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 31.40 | 30.90 | +0.50 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 31.30 | 31.30 | 0.00 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 31.80 | 31.80 | 0.00 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 33.60 | 33.70 | -0.10 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | 36.60 | 36.60 | 0.00 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 39.40 | 39.80 | -0.40 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 43.50 | 44.20 | -0.70 |
| May 14, 2025 | 47.30 | 47.70 | -0.40 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 55.90 | 54.20 | +1.70 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 66.90 | 66.80 | +0.10 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 84.50 | 84.70 | -0.20 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 117.80 | 117.80 | 0.00 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 166.00 | 167.00 | -1.00 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 193.00 | 193.90 | -0.90 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 209.00 | 209.10 | -0.10 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | 236.70 | 235.80 | +0.90 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 263.40 | 263.00 | +0.40 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 271.50 | 273.60 | -2.10 |
| Jun 13, 2024 | 276.40 | 279.40 | -3.00 |
| May 14, 2024 | 289.40 | 289.60 | -0.20 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 287.90 | 291.30 | -3.40 |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 276.20 | 282.10 | -5.90 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 254.20 | 257.20 | -3.00 |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 211.40 | 215.00 | -3.60 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 160.90 | 159.00 | +1.90 |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 142.70 | 146.40 | -3.70 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 138.30 | 135.60 | +2.70 |
| Sep 13, 2023 | 124.40 | 110.00 | +14.40 |
| Aug 15, 2023 | 113.40 | 115.20 | -1.80 |
| Jul 13, 2023 | 115.60 | 117.90 | -2.30 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 114.20 | 115.00 | -0.80 |
| May 12, 2023 | 108.80 | 106.20 | +2.60 |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 104.30 | 97.60 | +6.70 |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 102.50 | 101.00 | +1.50 |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 98.80 | 98.30 | +0.50 |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 94.80 | 97.40 | -2.60 |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 92.40 | 94.10 | -1.70 |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 88.00 | 91.30 | -3.30 |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 82.90 | 86.70 | -3.80 |
| Sep 14, 2022 | 78.50 | 79.50 | -1.00 |
| Aug 11, 2022 | 71.00 | 70.60 | +0.40 |
| Jul 14, 2022 | 64.00 | 64.30 | -0.30 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | 33.6 | 33.2 | -0.40 ↓ |
