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The Harmonised Inflation Rate Year-over-Year (YoY) represents the annual percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices. This metric is specifically designed to provide a comparable measure of inflation across different European countries, stripping out national idiosyncrasies in data collection. It is the benchmark used by the ECB to define its price stability mandate of 2%.
The rate is derived from the HICP, which follows a strict set of legal requirements and statistical standards defined by EU regulations to ensure cross-border comparability.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 2.60 | 3.00 | -0.40 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.30 | -0.20 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 2.30 | 2.50 | -0.20 |
| May 19, 2025 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 2.50 | 2.60 | -0.10 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.00 | +0.40 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.70 | -0.30 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | 2.40 | 3.20 | -0.80 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Jul 17, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| May 17, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.00 | +0.30 |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.90 | -0.50 |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3.80 | 4.60 | -0.80 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 4.50 | 4.60 | -0.10 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 0.00 |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 4.70 | 4.80 | -0.10 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 4.90 | 4.60 | +0.30 |