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In a move reflecting mounting pressure on the real estate sector, the latest Zillow report shows the US housing market recovery paused in May. According to the data, new property listings ticked down 0.8% month-over-month, standing 4.1% lower than last year's levels. This slowdown is primarily attributed to mortgage rates rising past the 6.5% threshold, which caused both home sales and new listings to fall behind 2025 volumes.
This deceleration comes as major real estate brokerages like Redfin and Compass face similar challenges in maintaining transaction flow, with recent earnings reports highlighting margin pressure due to low inventory. Compared to historical data, current listing levels remain significantly below pre-pandemic averages, exacerbating the supply crunch. Per market data, mortgage rates sustained above 6% have drastically reduced consumer purchasing power compared to the first quarter of last year.
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Sign InInvestors should watch mortgage rate levels as they fluctuate above 6.5%, as these levels directly impact the attractiveness of housing sector stocks. Looking at the economic calendar, markets are awaiting upcoming Housing Starts data to gauge how developers are responding to the inventory shortage. Without immediate catalysts for rate cuts from the Fed, analysts expect the sector to remain in a wait-and-see mode through the end of the second quarter.
Update: Recent data highlights a deepening supply crunch, with 5.8% of all US home listings pulled off the market in April, matching the record high set in December 2025. This 3.8% month-over-month surge in delistings coincided with annual home price appreciation slowing to 0.83% in March—the weakest level since July 2023—signaling increased buyer resistance to elevated pricing.