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The BoE MPC Vote Unchanged represents the number of members within the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee who voted to maintain interest rates at their current levels. This figure is released alongside the interest rate decision and provides insight into the degree of consensus or division among policymakers. A high number of votes for 'unchanged' typically suggests a period of monetary stability, while a shift in this number can signal upcoming changes in policy direction. Analysts use this breakdown to gauge the hawkish or dovish tilt of the committee.
The value is calculated by counting the individual votes of the nine MPC members during their policy meeting. The results are recorded as a split (e.g., 7-2-0) representing votes for unchanged, hike, and cut respectively.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | 89.00 | 89.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 59.00 | 79.00 | -20.00 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 49.00 | 49.00 | 0.00 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 59.00 | 69.00 | -10.00 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | 79.00 | 79.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 49.00 | 29.00 | +20.00 |
| Jun 19, 2025 | 69.00 | 79.00 | -10.00 |
| May 8, 2025 | 29.00 | 9.00 | +20.00 |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 89.00 | 79.00 | +10.00 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 9.00 | 19.00 | -10.00 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 69.00 | 89.00 | -20.00 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 19.00 | 29.00 | -10.00 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | 89.00 | 79.00 | +10.00 |
| Aug 1, 2024 | 49.00 | 49.00 | 0.00 |
| Jun 20, 2024 | 79.00 | 79.00 | 0.00 |
| May 9, 2024 | 79.00 | 89.00 | -10.00 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 89.00 | 79.00 | +10.00 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | 69.00 | 89.00 | -20.00 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 69.00 | 69.00 | 0.00 |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 69.00 | 69.00 | 0.00 |
Watch the MPC voting breakdown, with forecasts suggesting a shift from 9 to 8 members voting to keep rates unchanged. This historical trend indicates a growing divergence within the committee towards easing, making any deviation a significant signal for future rate paths.