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| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 48 | — | 20.1x | Near average | |
Growth | 60 | 45.8% | 5.6% | Near average | |
Quality | 26 | -37.1% | 7.6% | Below average | |
Safety | 33 | 4.7x | 0.4x | Below average | |
Capital Return | 73 | — | 2.19% | Above average | |
Momentum | 94 | — | — | Above average | |
Sentiment | 38 | — | — | Near average |
This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.
Rocket Lab stock has seen a significant improvement in analyst sentiment over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising by 4.52% to reach 96.5 dollars. This optimism is supported by a series of positive ratings, most notably Craig-Hallum upgrading the rating from 'Hold' to 'Buy', and New Street initiating new coverage with a 'Buy' rating, reflecting growing confidence in the company's operational trajectory.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) is recognized globally as a leading provider of end-to-end space services, generating its revenue through two primary business segments: Launch Services, utilizing its famous Electron and HASTE rockets as well as the future Neutron launch vehicle, and Space Systems, which encompasses the design and manufacturing of complete satellites, subsystems, and precision components such as solar panels, electric propulsion systems, and optical systems.
The financial results for the first quarter of 2026 demonstrated an exceptional and historic performance for the company, with total revenue reaching a record $200.3 million, representing a robust 63.5% year-over-year increase compared to the first quarter of the prior year, and a sequential growth of 12% compared to the fourth quarter of 2025. This revenue was distributed between the Space Systems segment, which generated $136.7 million (representing 57.2% year-over-year growth), and the Launch Services segment, which contributed $63.7 million (representing 78.9% year-over-year growth).
On the profitability front, the company recorded a GAAP gross margin of 38.2% (and 43% on a non-GAAP basis), exceeding the company's prior guidance range. Despite the strong operational performance, the company recorded a net loss of $45.0 million in the first quarter of 2026, which represents an improvement compared to the fourth quarter of 2025 losses of $198.2 million, resulting in an EPS loss of $0.07.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Rocket Lab stock is currently trading at $143.48, which places it above the average analyst consensus price target of $96.5, and even exceeds the highest analyst price target set at $120. Despite this significant price surge that approaches the upper end of its 52-week range ($25.24 – $151) and its market capitalization of $83.1 billion, the overall analyst consensus on the stock remains at a Buy rating.
The company expects to achieve revenue between $225 million and $240 million in the second quarter of 2026, representing a 16% sequential growth compared to the first quarter. It also expects GAAP gross margin to range between 33% and 35%, and non-GAAP gross margin to range between 38% and 40%, while expecting to record an Adjusted EBITDA loss ranging between $20 million and $26 million.
The company aims to launch the first test flight of the Neutron rocket at the end of 2026 according to the current schedule. During the first flight, the company will attempt to perform a soft water landing in the ocean to test re-entry operations and engine burns, and if these tests are successful, the company plans to use the massive landing barge named Return on Investment to attempt an actual landing and recover the rocket starting from the second flight.
Rocket Lab entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Motiv Space Systems, a California-based leader in space robotics, motion control systems, and spacecraft mechanisms that co-developed the robotic arm for NASA's Perseverance rover on Mars. The strategic value of this transaction lies in enabling Rocket Lab to manufacture critical components internally, such as Solar Array Drive Assemblies (SADA) and gimbal actuators, closing one of the last gaps in its supply chain.
Large SDA contracts like Tranche 2 and Tranche 3 contribute significantly to increasing revenue and production volume, but they come with lower gross margins compared to individual space component products or traditional launch services. However, management emphasizes that these contracts support the company's overall operational efficiency and are accretive and beneficial to net operating profits in the long term due to vertical integration.