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| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 65 | — | 20.1x | Near average | |
Growth | 80 | 37.8% | 5.6% | Above average | |
Quality | 11 | -43.3% | 7.6% | Below average | |
Safety | 56 | -7.8x | 0.4x | Near average | |
Capital Return | 94 | — | 2.19% | Above average | |
Momentum | — | — | — | No data | |
Sentiment | — | — | — | No data |

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.
NIO stock price forecasts have seen relative stability in the average price target at 6.54 dollars, with a slight increase of 1.4% recorded over the last thirty days. A narrowing in the Analyst Dispersion range is noted, with the range fluctuating between 6 and 7 dollars, indicating a convergence in the short-term outlook, despite a decrease in the number of analysts covering the stock from 15 to 12 in the past week.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
NIO Inc. is a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market. Its business model is built on designing, developing, and manufacturing innovative electric vehicles, alongside providing integrated services and unique power solutions such as battery swapping technology (Battery Swap) and fast-charging networks. The company primarily generates its revenues from vehicle sales across three main brands targeting different market segments: the premium NIO brand, the family-focused ONVO brand, and the premium compact car brand FIREFLY, in addition to sales of parts, accessories, financing services, and after-sales services.
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company achieved strong financial results driven by a massive surge in deliveries. Total revenues reached RMB 25.5 billion (representing a 112.2% year-over-year growth), with vehicle sales leading these revenues at RMB 22.8 billion, a growth of 129.2% year-over-year. Although revenues decreased by 26.3% compared to the previous quarter due to a seasonal decline in delivery volumes, the financial performance showed a significant improvement in overall profitability.
Vehicle gross margin recorded a remarkable improvement to reach 18.8% compared to 10.2% in the first quarter of the previous year, driven by an improved product mix and an increased contribution from high-margin models such as the ES8. Gross margin for services and other sales also rose to a record high of 20.6%, driving the company's consolidated gross margin up to 19% compared to 7.6% in the same period last year. The company successfully narrowed its net loss sharply to just RMB 0.3 billion compared to a loss of RMB 6.8 billion in the first quarter of 2025, while achieving positive operating cash flows and maintaining a strong cash balance of RMB 48.2 billion.
NIO stock is currently trading at $5.985, which is below the average analyst price target of $6.54, with the range of analyst expectations spanning from a low of $6 to a high target of $7. Based on the current analyst consensus pointing to a 'Buy' recommendation, the stock is currently trading below the fair value target set by the market.
NIO expects its total deliveries during the second quarter of 2026 to range between 11,000 and 11,500 units. This range represents strong year-over-year growth of 52.7% to 59.6% compared to the same period of the previous year. Management is confident in achieving these figures, supported by the entry of the three brands NIO, ONVO, and FIREFLY into an intensive cycle of new product launches and deliveries.
Management explained that rising prices of raw materials such as memory chips, lithium carbonate, copper, and aluminum represent a pressure that increases the cost by RMB 10,000 per vehicle. To counter this, the company intends to lock in its vehicle prices and limit promotional discounts, while working with supply chain partners through a preferred supplier model to save between 5% and 10% in operating costs. The company aims to maintain a target vehicle margin of 17% to 18% for the second quarter and the full year.
Other sales margins, which include after-sales services, power solutions, battery charging, and the electronic accessories store, achieved a 4-year record high of 20.6% in the first quarter of 2026. This improvement is attributed to increased user loyalty, improved operational efficiency of the swap stations, and utilizing off-peak electricity trading. The company aims to maintain other sales margins at 20% for the entire fiscal year 2026.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
NIO will officially launch and begin deliveries of its new executive flagship model, the ES9, on May 27, 2026. With this model, the company aims to compete strongly in the premium SUV segment priced above RMB 500,000 in China, competing with traditional vehicles like the BMW X7 and Mercedes GLS. The start of test drives for this model has contributed to a 30% increase in demand for its sister model, the ES8.