Polymarket odds showed a 99.95% confidence in Bitcoin staying above $52,000 by July 20, while a trader placed a $28 million bet on Ethereum volatility. On July 18, French authorities ordered a geoblock on the platform due to concerns over illegal gambling and market manipulation. By July 20, Bitcoin traded flat near $64,200 as oil prices reached a one-month high following escalating U.S.-Iran strikes.
