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ResolvedMacro Economy

US Mortgage Rates Hit 6-Month High Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions

First Detected: Mar 25, 2026, 5:47 PM
Last Update: 5 months ago
69 articles·7 stories

Event Summary

U.S. mortgage rates have reached a 6-month high, dampening hopes for an affordability boost in the housing market. The increase in rates has been driven by geopolitical instability following the start of the Iran war in late February. However, bond buying by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae is acting as a buffer, preventing mortgage rates from climbing even higher. Additionally, rate hike odds have surpassed 50% for the first time this cycle.

Timeline

Fed Rate Hike Odds Surpass 50% for the First Time This Cycle
Mar 30, 2026, 9:17 PMImpact: 7
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Shares Surge 40% Amid Housing Market Volatility
Mar 30, 2026, 5:17 PMImpact: 6
Trump's Institutional Housing Ban Threatens Passage of US ROAD to Housing Act
Mar 29, 2026, 3:02 PMImpact: 6
US Mortgage Rates Hit 6-Month High Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions
Mar 25, 2026, 5:46 PMImpact: 7

Price Impact

Since event start
MBB-2.14%