EL7.AI
Central BanksMedium•10 November 2026•
1 min read

Fed December Rate Hike Odds Surge to 84% Amid Record Equity Inflows

Key Facts

1Odds for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December have climbed to 84.4% according to the FedWatch tool.
2Global equity funds drew a record $266 billion in inflows over the past four weeks.

Odds for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December have climbed to 84.4% according to the FedWatch tool. BeInCrypto reported that global equity funds drew a record $266 billion in inflows over the past four weeks, signaling a massive rotation of capital into equity markets.

This shift follows US economic data from November 6, 2026, which showed Average Hourly Earnings growing by 0.4%, exceeding the 0.3% forecast. Additionally, Michigan Consumer Sentiment reached 51 on the same date, up from a previous reading of 48, providing further fundamental support for a potential rate increase to curb persistent demand.

Market participants are now focusing on the US Inflation Rate data scheduled for release today, November 10, 2026, with forecasts pointing toward a 3.9% annual rate. This will be followed by the Producer Price Index on November 13, 2026, which will serve as a key indicator for the Federal Reserve's policy direction heading into the December meeting.