GeopoliticsMedium•20 October 2026•
4 min read

Dow futures rise 0.3%, Nasdaq slips as tech earnings loom

Key Facts

1Dow Jones futures rose 0.3%, equivalent to 163 points.
2Nasdaq futures fell 0.2%, equivalent to 62 points.
3Submarine cables carry more than 99% of international data traffic.
4U.S. retail and food services sales increased 6.3% year on year in September 2026.

Dow Jones futures rose 0.3% on Tuesday morning, October 20, 2026, while Nasdaq futures fell 0.2%, according to Investing.com, as markets awaited earnings from major technology companies during the week. Dow futures gained 163 points in the morning snapshot reported by the website. In the same snapshot, Nasdaq futures lost 62 points, following a session in which the Nasdaq Composite rose. The Composite had climbed 1.1% in trading on Monday, October 19, while the Dow Jones fell 0.1%. Dow futures thus rose after the index declined in the previous session, while Nasdaq futures edged lower following gains in the Composite.

Monday's recovery in U.S. stocks followed a sharp selloff in shares of companies linked to artificial intelligence during the previous week, according to Investing.com. The website reported that concerns about Chinese competitors were among the factors that weakened sentiment toward these stocks before their rebound. Concerns also included the scale of debt financing, another factor the website cited in explaining the pressure on AI investments. At Monday's open, the rebound in the sector's shares coincided with a decline in oil prices, which Reuters said provided additional support for stocks ahead of earnings from major companies. That support from oil formed part of the backdrop to the previous session's recovery, alongside renewed gains in AI stocks after losses the week before.

Describing investors' demands of AI companies, King Lip, chief strategist and partner at Baker Avenue Wealth Management, said they were now demanding that the companies demonstrate returns. Lip summed up that demand as "Show me the returns," according to remarks carried by Investing.com in its coverage of the recovery in stocks linked to the sector. His comments came amid concerns over Chinese competition and the scale of debt financing, following the previous week's selloff. On the earnings calendar, markets were awaiting Meta's results later in the week covered by the report, according to the website. Tesla was also expected to report during the same week, with the two companies' announcements providing a fresh test of the technology sector's performance after Monday's recovery.

On regional tensions, Iranian security official Mohsen Rezaei warned that digital infrastructure in the region could be targeted if war with the United States resumed, according to Al Jazeera. The warning covered cables, data centers and AI facilities, linking the possibility of attacks on them to a renewed outbreak of war. Al Jazeera quoted him as saying these facilities "could come under attack if war with the United States breaks out again." Submarine cables carry more than 99% of international data traffic, according to the International Telecommunication Union's presentation published in February 2026. This widespread reliance on cables places the Iranian warning among the risks to infrastructure carrying data traffic between countries, alongside the threat to data centers and AI facilities.

In its assessment of challenges to submarine cable resilience, the International Telecommunication Union identified lengthy repair times as one of the problems facing this infrastructure. The union also listed the geographical concentration of infrastructure among the challenges to maintaining its resilience in its report on the subject. Its recommendations included increasing the diversity of cable routes as part of measures aimed at strengthening the resilience of the submarine network. It also recommended providing backup infrastructure, alongside route diversification, to address challenges related to repairs and geographical concentration. These recommendations concern a network carrying the overwhelming majority of international data traffic, while the Iranian warning covers cables alongside facilities that host data and run AI services in the region.

In the U.S. economic backdrop, retail and food services sales rose 0.8% in September 2026 from the previous month, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales increased 6.3% from September 2025, the bureau said. The annual increase refers to September sales, while October was the month the report was published, and the reading includes food services alongside retail trade. The bureau said the figures were not adjusted for price changes, meaning the monthly and annual increases reflect growth in the value of sales without stripping out the effect of price changes. The Census Bureau is scheduled to publish its advance estimate of retail sales for October 2026 on November 17, 2026, according to the official release calendar.