Macro EconomyMedium•19 October 2026•
1 min read

U.S. Holiday Airfares Surge as MSCI Weighs Indonesia Downgrade

Key Facts

1U.S. holiday airline fares are surging, with Thanksgiving tickets up 31% and Christmas up 23% as carriers pass on higher fuel costs.
2MSCI may downgrade Indonesian equities from emerging market status, risking $5.6B in passive outflows.

U.S. holiday airline fares are surging, with Thanksgiving tickets up 31% and Christmas up 23%. According to Seeking Alpha, carriers including American Airlines, United Airlines, and Delta Air Lines are passing on higher fuel costs to consumers to offset rising operational expenses.

Indonesian equities face a potential downgrade by MSCI from emerging market to standalone status, which could trigger $5.6 billion in passive fund outflows. This possible reclassification follows a 43% year-to-date decline in Indonesia's main stock index as of October 19, 2026, marking it as a significant underperformer this year.

Indonesia is scheduled to announce its Interest Rate Decision on October 21, 2026, with forecasts suggesting the rate will remain unchanged at 5.75%. This central bank action comes as the market faces heightened volatility and the prospect of MSCI reclassification.