Tesla-SpaceX Merger Odds Surpass 50% on Prediction Markets

Key Facts

Odds of a Tesla-SpaceX merger before March 2027 jumped to 56% on the Kalshi prediction platform. Reuters reported that the surge reflects a shift in retail and institutional sentiment regarding the potential integration of Elon Musk's corporate entities.

Tesla closed at $362.44 on October 15, 2026, while SPCX closed at $148.62 on the same date. The movement in prediction markets follows intensified speculation and betting volume regarding structural synergy between the two technology giants.