Central BanksMedium•15 October 2026•
1 min read

RBNZ Chief Economist Signals Potential October Rate Hike

Key Facts

1RBNZ Chief Economist Conway stated that the October rate decision remains completely open to all possibilities.
2Conway reaffirmed that the Official Cash Rate is more likely to rise than fall, citing inflation pressures from oil prices.

RBNZ Chief Economist Paul Conway stated that the October interest rate decision remains completely open to all possibilities. According to reports from investinglive.com, Conway reaffirmed that the Official Cash Rate is more likely to rise than fall, with the bank keeping options open between a hold and a 25-basis-point increase.

Conway highlighted that the central bank is monitoring short-term inflation pressures stemming from oil price fluctuations and movements in the New Zealand dollar. This hawkish stance contrasts with regional peers, particularly as markets scale back rate hike expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia following recent weak employment data.