ForexMedium•3 October 2026•
1 min read
Dollar and Yields Steady as Soft Jobs Data Shifts Fed Expectations Amid Inflation Risks
Key Facts
1The probability of a Fed pause in October rose to 77.9% following September's soft Non-Farm Payrolls report.
2The Dollar Index and Treasury yields reversed higher by Friday's close as markets focused on persistent inflation risks.
3Brent crude prices held above $100 per barrel despite a coordinated G7 reserve release.
The probability of a Federal Reserve pause in October rose to 77.9% following a soft Non-Farm Payrolls report for September. ActionForex reported that the Dollar Index and Treasury yields reversed higher by Friday's close despite the weak data, as markets focused on persistent inflation risks.
Brent crude prices held above $100 per barrel despite a coordinated G7 reserve release, maintaining upward pressure on inflation. Employment data showed the unemployment rate rose from 4.1% to 4.2%, while average hourly earnings growth slowed to 0.1% month-on-month and 3.0% on an annual basis.