StocksMedium•25 September 2026•
6 min read

Oracle Shares Fall 3.5% After Report of Project Jupiter Force Majeure Notice

Key Facts

1Oracle closed at $139.54 on September 24, 2026, down 3.5%.
2According to Bloomberg, the force majeure notice could defer payments if Jupiter misses its planned 2028 opening.
3Reuters cited the Financial Times on indicative quotes of 89–91 cents for roughly $18 billion of project loans.
4OBDC is a separately listed lender; Blue Owl Capital Inc. trades as OWL.

Oracle shares fell 3.5% to close at $139.54 on September 24, 2026, after a report that the company sent a force majeure notice to the developer of New Mexico's Project Jupiter data center. Reuters, citing Bloomberg, said the notice seeks to protect Oracle from payments if the facility misses its planned 2028 opening. Oracle said the project remains on its planned schedule and that it is committed to the New Mexico site. The issue for investors is the risk that computing capacity could arrive late, rather than an announced delay. The notice's ultimate financial effect depends on the parties' agreements and how construction proceeds.

The September 24 close of $139.54 compares with $144.56 on September 23, a decline of $5.02, or 3.5% rounded to one decimal place. Oracle had closed at $149.20 on September 22, showing that the session followed earlier weakness in the shares. On September 24 the stock traded between $133.48 and $140.34 before finishing near the upper end of that range. Those figures distinguish the deeper intraday selloff from the loss recorded at the close. For a shareholder, the closing price sets the daily comparison, while the trading range shows the volatility surrounding the report.

The contractual question is when Oracle must pay for a facility it expects to use to deliver computing capacity to customers. According to the Bloomberg report carried by Reuters, Oracle is not seeking to leave as the main tenant; it is seeking protection that could defer payments if the site does not open in 2028 as planned. A gap between rent obligations and usable capacity could emerge if construction or financing advances before the necessary power is available. The notice could limit Oracle's early cost exposure while increasing uncertainty for the developer and its lenders. Sending it does not, by itself, establish that a delay has occurred or that the other party accepts Oracle's interpretation of the contract.

Project Jupiter's readiness depends on its power system as well as its buildings and equipment. Oracle says its revised plan uses Bloom Energy fuel cells in an on-site microgrid, replacing an earlier design based on gas turbines and diesel generators. The fuel-cell system needs a reliable gas supply, making the pipeline and energy permits part of the delivery schedule. TechCrunch reported that a pipeline intended for the campus was pushed back to February 1, 2027, and that an air-quality permit for the power system remained pending. If the power component slips, completed buildings alone cannot turn constructed capacity into a service Oracle can deliver to customers.

Financing concerns preceded the force majeure report. Reuters, citing the Financial Times, reported on September 18, 2026, that banks had quoted roughly $18 billion of project-linked loans at 89 to 91 cents on the dollar. These are loans financing a facility Oracle plans to lease, not a direct measure of the price of all Oracle corporate debt or proof of a payment default. A quote below face value means a prospective buyer is demanding a discount for perceived financing and timing risks. The reported levels were bank quotes, so they should not be presented as confirmed transaction prices.

The risk of delay intersects with the cloud growth Oracle had reported before the notice. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, total revenue reached $19.3 billion, up 30% from a year earlier, while cloud infrastructure revenue reached $7.4 billion, up 121%. Remaining performance obligations rose to $664 billion, a measure of contracted business for which revenue has yet to be recognized. Those obligations do not become revenue merely because contracts have been signed; infrastructure services require the promised capacity to be available and operating. That makes the start dates of major campuses such as Jupiter relevant to judging how quickly contracted demand can become reported revenue.

Cash flow adds another dimension because data center expansion requires spending before the associated revenue is fully realized. Oracle reported negative free cash flow of $5 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 despite its revenue growth in the same period. It also said it raised $20 billion through share sales during that quarter as part of its capital funding program. A delay in usable capacity could lengthen the interval between project spending and revenue, while delivery on schedule would narrow that interval. Contract growth alone therefore cannot capture the project's effect on shareholders without attention to both spending and delivery.

Reading the market reaction requires distinguishing the project's participants from similarly named listed companies. STACK Infrastructure says it is developing the campus with investment from funds managed by Blue Owl Capital. Blue Owl Capital Inc. trades as OWL, whereas OBDC is a separate listed lending company managed through a Blue Owl affiliate. OBDC's share price alone does not establish that it directly holds Jupiter loans or owns the developer. Blue Owl said in a statement carried by Axios that the notice does not change the multiyear project's financial commitments; that is the firm's position on current arrangements, not a final ruling on any later contract dispute.

Work already under way at the site shows that the permit and power risks concern an active construction project. Oracle said on September 8 that nearly 1,000 New Mexico residents were working on the campus and that it had generated almost $100 million in state and local tax revenue. The company also cited a $50 million commitment to local water infrastructure. Oracle made its projections for jobs, investment and economic benefits conditional on approval of the air permit and pipeline as planned. Expected local benefits therefore need to be considered alongside the conditions for delivering them, rather than treated as guaranteed regardless of the opening date.

The next tests are regulatory decisions, progress on gas supply and the developer's ability to deliver the campus on time. TechCrunch reported a November 23 deadline for New Mexico's environmental agency to decide on the air-quality permit and a February 1, 2027, target for the pipeline. The planned 2028 opening remains the benchmark against which to measure those steps and Oracle's assertion that the schedule holds. For Oracle investors, permits and power progress would support the path from contracted capacity to revenue, while persistent delays would extend the risk of spending before service begins. For project lenders, the parties' ability to sustain financing and delivery commitments will matter more than the notice alone.