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Sign InAmid shifting monetary policy expectations, the EUR/USD pair is currently trading around 1.1426, with Bank of America analysts forecasting further downside potential. This bearish outlook follows a 2.0% decline in June, signaling a loss of momentum for the Euro. According to reports, the pair is retreating from its 2026 high of 1.2075 reached in January, recently testing levels near the 1.1325 mark.
The U.S. Dollar's resilience is supported by recent inflation data, with the annual CPI cooling to 3.5% in July, lower than the forecasted 3.8% per market data. Conversely, the Eurozone faces industrial headwinds, as industrial production fell by 0.2% month-on-month in July. This divergence in economic performance continues to favor the Greenback as the preferred safe-haven and yield-bearing asset.
Traders should watch the 1.1325 support level closely, as a breach could accelerate the move toward lower technical targets. While the current economic calendar shows no immediate upcoming catalysts for the pair, the ongoing yield spread between U.S. Treasuries and European bonds remains a primary driver for the downward trend in the medium term.