EL7.AI
Forex•16 July 2026•
1 min read

Rabobank Forecasts Choppy EUR/USD Trading Around 1.14 for 2026

Key Facts

1Rabobank expects EUR/USD to trade in choppy conditions near the 1.14 level over the coming months.
2The Euro gained approximately 0.5% in July, trading near the 1.1460 level.

Amid persistent geopolitical uncertainty, Rabobank has released its 2026 outlook for the EUR/USD pair, predicting that the exchange rate will navigate choppy and volatile conditions around the 1.14 level in the coming months. According to reports, the Euro managed to secure gains of approximately 0.5% during July, trading near 1.1460, though the bank suggests these gains may be capped by broader macroeconomic headwinds.

This neutral outlook is driven by the US Dollar's continued strength as a safe-haven asset and significant short-covering following the outbreak of conflict in Iran. Contextually, recent Eurozone data shows cooling price pressures, with Germany's CPI falling 0.3% month-on-month in July per market data, which contrasts with the resilient demand for the greenback in times of global distress.

Looking ahead, market participants are shifting focus to the upcoming US Monetary Policy Report, which could provide critical clues regarding the Federal Reserve's next steps.