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Sign InThis price surge comes at a sensitive time for the global energy market, which is closely monitoring supply chain vulnerabilities in the Middle East. According to Reuters reports, oil prices jumped 4% following new military strikes that threatened the safety of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. These tensions led to an immediate increase in the geopolitical risk premium priced into crude futures, amid fears of significant disruptions to flows through this strategic waterway.
Historically, approximately one-fifth of global oil consumption passes through the Strait of Hormuz daily, making any military threat there a primary price driver that outweighs traditional inventory data. Compared to previous movements, a 4% single-session jump reflects deep investor anxiety, particularly as it coincides with broader uncertainty regarding global demand growth. Per market data, this spike adds further pressure on energy-importing economies already struggling with elevated inflation levels.
Looking at available data, the API Crude Oil Stock Change report on July 7, 2026, showed a modest draw of 0.399 million barrels, which was narrower than anticipated. Traders are now shifting their focus to the EIA Weekly Petroleum Report scheduled for July 8, 2026, to gain a clearer picture of domestic supply-demand balances, which may determine if the current bullish momentum will persist or face technical resistance.